Started Nov 16, 2018 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The Mack Institute asks

Between 1 October 2018 and 31 December 2019, how many Model 3 cars will Tesla deliver to customers?

Tesla's Model 3 deliveries continue to be an object of attention for industry observers (Tesla, Forbes, The Los Angeles Times).

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Name Probability
280,000 or less 37%
More than 280,000 but less than 330,000 46%
Between 330,000 and 380,000, inclusive 17%
More than 380,000 but less than 430,000 0%
430,000 or more 0%

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