The Monkey Cage asks

Who will win Mississippi's U.S. Senate special election runoff?

Started Nov 16, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 27, 2018 06:00PM UTC

After neither candidate won more than 50% of the vote in the general election (Cindy Hyde-Smith won 41.5% and Mike Espy won 40.6%), a runoff election has been scheduled for 27 November 2018 (The Washington Post). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
This question closed as "Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)" with an end date of 27 November 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 98%
Mike Espy (D) 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 49
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 82
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0022
3.
-0.001536
4.
-0.001518
5.
-0.001509

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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