Started Nov 30, 2018 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Nesta, The Economist and   Fareed Zakaria GPS ask

Before 1 October 2019, will the U.S. House of Representatives pass an article of impeachment against President Trump?

There has been a push among some Democrats to impeach President Trump (The Economist, BBC, Fortune, The Washington Post).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 5.00%
No 95.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 4185
Average for questions older than 6 months: 245
Number of Forecasts 6206
Average for questions older than 6 months: 672
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.081
2.
-0.081
3.
-0.081
4.
-0.081
5.
-0.081

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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