Fareed Zakaria GPS asks
Will there be a lethal confrontation in the South or East China Sea between the military forces, militia, or law enforcement personnel of China and another country before 1 January 2020?
Started
Dec 07, 2018 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Challenges
A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the military forces, militia, or law enforcement of either side. China has used the People's Liberation Army, Navy, and Air Force, militia, and law enforcement to further its claims in both the South and East China Seas, and some once posed as fishermen (Quartz, ChinaPower Project, The Diplomat, SCMP).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 2252 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 2993 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |