Question 24 of 32 in In The News 2019
Started Dec 21, 2018 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 January 2020, will the UK and the EU adopt an agreement on which customs territory Northern Ireland will be located in after the end of any Brexit transition period?


The status of Northern Ireland after the planned Brexit has become a focal point of negotiations between the UK and the EU (BBC, European Commission). Adoption of a temporary (e.g., "backstop") or a permanent solution will count.

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Name Probability
No 89%
Yes, the United Kingdom's customs territory only 3%
Yes, the European Union's customs territory only 2%
Yes, a single customs territory that includes both the European Union and the United Kingdom 6%

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