Started Jan 18, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks

Will Mick Mulvaney cease to be White House Chief of Staff before 1 January 2020?

In December 2018, President Trump announced that Office of Management and Budget Director Mick Mulvaney would replace, in an acting capacity, outgoing Chief of Staff John Kelly (CNN). For the purposes of this question, Mulvaney will be considered the Chief of Staff whether in a permanent or acting capacity (Politico).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.  

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Correct Answer

No

Final Crowd Forecast

25%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

1024

Forecast
Count

1956

Crowd Brier Score

0.6439


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.917
2.
-0.915
3.
-0.906
4.
-0.894
5.
-0.875