Started Feb 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Which of the following US stock market indexes will perform worst between 31 January 2019 and 31 July 2019?

Outcome will be determined using data from Bloomberg, by dividing the end-of-day closing values for 31 July 2019 by the end-of-day closing values for 31 January 2019, which were:

DJIA (Bloomberg): 24,999.67

NASDAQ Composite (Bloomberg): 7,281.74

Russell 2000 (Bloomberg): 1,499.42

S&P 500 (Bloomberg): 2,704.10

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Name Probability
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) 32%
NASDAQ Composite 20%
Russell 2000 32%
S&P 500 16%

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