Who will win the 2019 Academy Award for Actress in a Leading Role?

Started Feb 08, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 24, 2019 06:00PM UTC
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The 91st Academy Awards are scheduled to take place Sunday 24 February 2019 (Oscars 2019). In the event of a tie, the question will close based on the film with the higher box office gross per Box Office Mojo.

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Olivia Colman won for Best Actress on 24 February 2019. https://oscar.go.com/winners 

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yalitza Aparicio (Roma) 3%
Glenn Close (The Wife) 78%
Olivia Colman (The Favourite) 14%
Lady Gaga (A Star Is Born) 5%
Melissa McCarthy (Can You Ever Forgive Me?) 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 30
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.838947
2.
-0.529267
3.
-0.37672
4.
-0.31128
5.
-0.295613

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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