Started Feb 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 15 February 2019 and 31 October 2019, which company from among Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft will first reach an end-of-day
market capitalization of $1 trillion?

After Apple and Amazon each crossed the trillion-dollar threshold in 2018, tech companies have seen declines in their market capitalization (Financial Times, CNBC). Outcome will be determined by the end-of-day "Market Cap" reported by Bloomberg for Alphabet (Bloomberg), Amazon (Bloomberg), Apple (Bloomberg), and Microsoft (Bloomberg). If two or more companies reach an end-of-day market capitalization of $1 trillion on the same day, the question will resolve on the company with the higher market capitalization.

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Name Probability
Alphabet 10%
Amazon 13%
Apple 12%
Microsoft 14%
None of the above 51%

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