The Economist asks

Before 1 October 2019, will nuclear experts from the IAEA, the CTBTO, the UN, United States, or South Korea visit North Korea’s Yongbyon nuclear facility?

Started Feb 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2019 06:59AM UTC

The future of the Yongbyon nuclear site -- and potential inspections by experts from  the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban-Treaty Organization (CTBTO), or others -- is part of ongoing negotiations with North Korea (The Economist, Nuclear Threat Initiative, The Washington Post).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 377
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 598
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.003
2.
-0.003
3.
-0.003
4.
-0.003
5.
-0.002

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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