Started Jan 19, 2016 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed May 05, 2016 06:59AM UTC

Who will be the next mayor of London?

Elections for the next mayor of London will be held on 5 May 2016. The main candidates are Zac Goldsmith of the Conservatives and Sadiq Khan of Labour (The World in 2016). The mayor of London is responsible for a budget of £17 billion, with powers over transport, housing, economic development, the environment, and the arts (London Elects). Recommended Question Before 1 May 2016, will Britain set a date for a referendum on EU membership? Will a member of the National League for Democracy (NLD) take office as president of Myanmar before April 2016? Who will win Uganda's next presidential election?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Sadiq Khan 92%
None of the above 0%
Zac Goldsmith 8%

No. of
Forecasters

532

Forecast
Count

1377

Crowd Brier Score

0.1285


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.179
3.
-0.179