Started
Jan 19, 2016 06:00PM UTC
•
Closed
May 05, 2016 06:59AM UTC
Who will be the next mayor of London?
Elections for the next mayor of London will be held on 5 May 2016. The main candidates are Zac Goldsmith of the Conservatives and Sadiq Khan of Labour (The World in 2016). The mayor of London is responsible for a budget of £17 billion, with powers over transport, housing, economic development, the environment, and the arts (London Elects). Recommended Question Before 1 May 2016, will Britain set a date for a referendum on EU membership? Will a member of the National League for Democracy (NLD) take office as president of Myanmar before April 2016? Who will win Uganda's next presidential election?
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Sadiq Khan | 92% | |
None of the above | 0% | |
Zac Goldsmith | 8% |
Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 532 |
average for questions older than 6 months: 257 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1377 |
average for questions older than 6 months: 686 |
Accuracy of participants | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | about average |