Started Jul 05, 2019 08:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 30, 2019 07:59AM UTC

Nesta asks

Between 5 July 2019 and 30 November 2019, how many Category 4 or above hurricanes will occur in the Atlantic Ocean according to the National Hurricane Center?

After a highly destructive 2018 hurricane season, a lot of attention is being paid to the 2019 hurricane season and beyond (BBC, NOAA, BBC, CNN, USA Today, ABC News, Guardian). This question will resolve based on available categorizations as of 9 December 2019 by the National Hurricane Center (NOAA).

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Name Probability
0 5%
1 21%
2 35%
3 25%
4 or more 14%

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