Nesta asks
Between 5 July 2019 and 30 November 2019, how many Category 4 or above hurricanes will occur in the Atlantic Ocean according to the National Hurricane Center?
Started
Jul 05, 2019 08:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 30, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Closed Nov 30, 2019 07:59AM UTC
Tags
After a highly destructive 2018 hurricane season, a lot of attention is being paid to the 2019 hurricane season and beyond (BBC, NOAA, BBC, CNN, USA Today, ABC News, Guardian). This question will resolve based on available categorizations as of 9 December 2019 by the National Hurricane Center (NOAA).
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The question closed "2" with a closing date of 1 December 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | |
| 1 | 0% | |
| 2 | 67% | |
| 3 | 25% | |
| 4 or more | 8% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 714 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1381 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
