Will a member of the Likud Party be the first person invited to form a government after the next Israeli general election?
Started
Jul 19, 2019 05:15PM UTC
Closed Sep 16, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 16, 2019 06:59AM UTC
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After the April 2019 elections, Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud Party failed to form a government and the Knesset voted for an unprecedented second election in the same year (Reuters, AP News, Knesset.gov). The elections are scheduled for 17 September 2019, with Netanyahu's political future in the balance (Times of Israel, Foreign Policy).
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The question closed "Yes, Benjamin Netanyahu" with a closing date of 25 September 2019 (Politico).
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, Benjamin Netanyahu | 57% | |
| Yes, someone other than Benjamin Netanyahu | 20% | |
| No | 23% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 95 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 162 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
