Before 12 September 2019, how many candidates who participated at the second Democratic presidential primary debates on 30-31 July will cease to be candidates?
Started
Aug 02, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 12, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Closed Sep 12, 2019 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Twenty candidates appeared in the second set of debates, ten on 30 July and the other ten on 31 July (CNN). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that a candidate no longer seeks the Democratic Party nomination for president or that a candidate is suspending his or her campaign.
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The question closed "Three or four" with a closing date of 12 September 2019.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Zero | 0% | |
| One or two | 0% | |
| Three or four | 88% | |
| Five or more | 12% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 179 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 475 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
