Started Aug 02, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Oct 31, 2019 06:59AM UTC

Between 2 August 2019 and 31 October 2019, will the United Auto Workers (UAW) union go on strike against General Motors (GM)?

On 16 July 2019, the UAW (officially the "International Union, United Automobile, Aerospace and Agricultural Implement Workers of America") and GM formally kicked off negotiations on a new collective bargaining agreement (CNBC). The current contract is set to expire on 14 September 2019, and both sides are prepared for a contentious fight (UAW, Nashville Post, Detroit News, AP). For the purposes of this question, a strike need not include all GM employees represented by the UAW, but must have been be approved by the UAW International Executive Board and/or International President per Article 50 of the UAW constitution (UAW ConstitutionGM Authority Blog).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.

Name Probability
Yes 10%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In