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Show less
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 15 December 2021, will the U.S. either formally seek to join or formally begin renegotiations with signatories regarding the TPP or CPTPP?
30%
Chance
70 Forecasters • 122 Forecasts
Started
Feb 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 15, 2021 08:01AM UTC
At close of business on 16 June 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 28 April 2021?
60 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started
Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Jun 16, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower
0%
Same
99%
Higher
1%
The Economist
asks:
Will the U.S. leveraged loan default rate reach or exceed 5.0% before 1 September 2021?
3%
Chance
87 Forecasters • 226 Forecasts
Started
Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Sep 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 31 December 2021?
72 Forecasters • 235 Forecasts
Started
Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.500
0%
Between 1.500 and 2.000, inclusive
22%
More than 2.000 but less than 2.500
62%
Between 2.500 and 3.000, inclusive
16%
More than 3.000
0%
At close of business on 28 April 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 17 March 2021?
75 Forecasters • 102 Forecasts
Started
Dec 22, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Apr 28, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower
0%
Same
100%
Higher
0%
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Will the People's Republic of China and the EU sign a Comprehensive Agreement on Investment before 1 January 2022?
190 Forecasters • 435 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the EU will ratify it before 1 January 2022
17%
Yes, and the EU will not ratify it before 1 January 2022
83%
No
0%
The
Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS)
asks:
Will the United States and China sign a trade agreement before 1 July 2021?
1%
Chance
224 Forecasters • 343 Forecasts
Started
Dec 18, 2020 07:00PM UTC
Closing
Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Japan, the People's Republic of China, and South Korea sign a trilateral free trade agreement before 1 January 2022?
5%
Chance
123 Forecasters • 233 Forecasts
Started
Dec 16, 2020 12:45AM UTC
Closing
Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The Economist
asks:
Before 7 May 2021, will the Bank of England set its Bank Rate to below zero?
0%
Chance
202 Forecasters • 377 Forecasts
Started
Dec 11, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC
At close of business on 17 March 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 27 January 2021?
99 Forecasters • 168 Forecasts
Started
Nov 06, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closing
Mar 17, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Show All Possible Answers
Lower
0%
Same
100%
Higher
0%
1
2
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