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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will the annual percent change in the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index be at or below 3.0% by December 2022?

8%

Chance
30 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Aug 05, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Will Ranil Wickremesinghe cease to be the president of Sri Lanka before 29 December 2022?

14%

Chance
25 Forecasters • 47 Forecasts
Started Jul 29, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 29, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Before 1 July 2023, will the Federal Reserve announce a cut in the US federal funds rate?

31%

Chance
80 Forecasters • 201 Forecasts
Started Jul 01, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 16 December 2022?

16 Forecasters • 57 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 1.00%
0%
Between 1.00% and 1.50%, inclusive
2%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
28%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
44%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
22%
Between 3.00% and 3.50%, inclusive
4%
More than 3.50%
0%

What will be the closing value of the US dollar/Japanese yen exchange rate on 16 December 2022?

29 Forecasters • 144 Forecasts
Started Jun 17, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 100.00
0%
Between 100.00 and 110.00, inclusive
0%
Higher than 110.00 but lower than 120.00
2%
Between 120.00 and 130.00, inclusive
25%
Higher than 130.00 but lower than 140.00
49%
Between 140.00 and 150.00, inclusive
23%
Higher than 150.00 but lower than 160.00
1%
160.00 or more
0%
SE_Meyer asks:

What will be the closing value of the ICE US Dollar Index on 16 September 2022?

35 Forecasters • 241 Forecasts
Started Jun 10, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 16, 2022 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than 95.00
0%
Between 95.00 and 100.00, inclusive
1%
More than 100.00 but less than 105.00
33%
Between 105.00 and 110.00, inclusive
64%
More than 110.00 but less than 115.00
2%
115.00 or more
0%

What will be the value of the US "M2" money supply as of 26 June 2023?

32 Forecasters • 66 Forecasts
Started Jun 03, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jun 26, 2023 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $19,250.0 billion
0%
Between $19,250.0 billion and $20,000.0 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $20,000.0 billion but less than $20,750.0 billion
0%
Between $20,750.0 billion and $21,500.0 billion, inclusive
0%
More than $21,500.0 billion
100%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

At close of business on 31 December 2022, what will be the upper limit of the US federal funds target range?

57 Forecasters • 289 Forecasts
Started May 27, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Lower than 1.75
0%
Between 1.75 and 2.25, inclusive
0%
Higher than 2.25 but lower than 3.25
31%
Between 3.25 and 3.75, inclusive
68%
Higher than 3.75
1%
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