The Mack Institute asks

How many Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) will be registered in the UK in 2019, according to the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT)?

Started Sep 20, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2019 06:00PM UTC

Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) registrations in the UK have been at much lower levels in 2019 compared to 2018 (InsideEVs, AUTOCAR). This question will be resolved using the "Year to date" data table for all of 2019 from the Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders report released in January 2020, typically on the fourth working day of the month (SMMT).

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The question closed "More than 27,000" with a closing date of 1 December 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 21,000 0%
Between 21,000 and 23,000, inclusive 0%
More than 23,000 but less than 25,000 0%
Between 25,000 and 27,000, inclusive 0%
More than 27,000 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 52
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 149
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.327802
2.
-0.255265
3.
-0.207938
4.
-0.196187
5.
-0.194949

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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