Started Sep 27, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 10, 2019 07:59AM UTC

How many seats in the Congress of Deputies will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) win in the next Spanish general election?

The next Spanish general election is scheduled for 10 November 2019 and all 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies are to be contested (Economist, The Guardian, El Pais [in Spanish]). PSOE won 123 seats in the Congress of Deputies in the April 2019 general election but was not able to form a government, leading to the November 2019 elections (El Pais, Euronews, El Pais).

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The question closed "Between 108 and 120, inclusive" with a closing date of 10 November 2019.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 108 1%
Between 108 and 120, inclusive 45%
More than 120 but less than 132 53%
Between 132 and 144, inclusive 1%
More than 144 0%

No. of
Forecasters

36

Forecast
Count

147

Crowd Brier Score

0.2886


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.331
2.
-0.197
3.
-0.163
4.
-0.147
5.
-0.123