Started Sep 27, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 15, 2020 02:00PM UTC

In Zarda v. Altitude Express, Inc., will the Supreme Court rule that the Civil Rights Act of 1964 prohibition against employment discrimination “because of…sex” encompasses discrimination based on an individual’s sexual orientation?

Donald Zarda, a former sky-diving instructor, was terminated from his job after an alleged incident with a customer (Oyez, Case Text). After losing a sex discrimination suit claiming that he was dismissed for being homosexual, Zarda appealed and ultimately prevailed in the Second Circuit asserting, among other things, that he was protected as a homosexual under the Civil Rights Act (Case Text). The former employer filed this appeal (SCOTUSBlog). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2019 term, but if it does not, the question will close as no. If the Court decides this case without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as no.

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 15 June 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 15.00%
No 85.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 116
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 263
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.225
2.
-1.206
3.
-1.202
4.
-1.179
5.
-1.097

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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