Started Feb 02, 2016 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Mar 12, 2016 01:00AM UTC

Will Google's AlphaGo beat world champion Lee Sedol in the five-game Go match planned for March 2016?

Google's AlphaGo computer program beat a professional Go player for the first time and is set to take on world champion Lee Sedol in a 5-game match in March 2016 (Scientific American, Daily Mail). Recommended Questions Will Roger Goodell be commissioner of the NFL at the start of the 2016 regular season? Will India win the 2016 ICC World Twenty20 cricket tournament?

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 98.00%
No 2.00%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 571
average for questions older than 6 months: 259
Number of Forecasts 1224
average for questions older than 6 months: 688
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.34
2.
-0.339
3.
-0.339
4.
-0.337
5.
-0.33

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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