Nesta asks
Will there be a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 January 2020?
Started
Oct 02, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC
UK prime minister Boris Johnson faces a number of leadership challenges as he attempts to navigate Brexit (BBC, BBC, BBC).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, someone from the Conservative Party | 0% | |
| Yes, someone from the Labour Party | 0% | |
| Yes, someone from a party other than the Conservative or Labour Parties | 0% | |
| No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 459 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 955 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
