Started Oct 02, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Nesta asks

Will there be a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 January 2020?

UK prime minister Boris Johnson faces a number of leadership challenges as he attempts to navigate Brexit (BBC, BBC, BBC).

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Name Probability
Yes, someone from the Conservative Party 13%
Yes, someone from the Labour Party 16%
Yes, someone from a party other than the Conservative or Labour Parties 2%
No 69%

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