Started Oct 02, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Nesta asks

Will there be a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 January 2020?

UK prime minister Boris Johnson faces a number of leadership challenges as he attempts to navigate Brexit (BBC, BBC, BBC).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.

Name Probability
Yes, someone from the Conservative Party 2%
Yes, someone from the Labour Party 7%
Yes, someone from a party other than the Conservative or Labour Parties 1%
No 90%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In