Started Oct 02, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Nesta asks

Will there be a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 January 2020?

UK prime minister Boris Johnson faces a number of leadership challenges as he attempts to navigate Brexit (BBC, BBC, BBC).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, someone from the Conservative Party 0%
Yes, someone from the Labour Party 0%
Yes, someone from a party other than the Conservative or Labour Parties 0%
No 100%

No. of
Forecasters

459

Forecast
Count

955


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.121
2.
-0.121
3.
-0.118
4.
-0.116
5.
-0.115