Before 1 February 2020, will the United Kingdom leave the European Union?
Started
Nov 01, 2019 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 31, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 31, 2020 11:00PM UTC
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The United Kingdom is now scheduled to leave the European Union no later than 31 January 2020 (BBC, European Council, UK.gov, BBC). For more information on the negotiation and conclusion of a withdrawal agreement and the revocation or extension of the Article 50 period, see European Parliament and European Commission.
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The question closed "Yes, with a Withdrawal Agreement with the EU in force" with a closing date of 31 January 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, with a Withdrawal Agreement with the EU in force | 99% | |
| Yes, without a Withdrawal Agreement with the EU in force | 1% | |
| No, with the UK revoking its invocation of Article 50 | 0% | |
| No, without the UK revoking its invocation of Article 50 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 280 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 630 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
