Question 7 of 21 in In The News 2020
Started Nov 01, 2019 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Feb 01, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Before 1 February 2020, will the United Kingdom leave the European Union?

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The United Kingdom is now scheduled to leave the European Union no later than 31 January 2020 (BBC, European Council, UK.gov, BBC). For more information on the negotiation and conclusion of a withdrawal agreement and the revocation or extension of the Article 50 period, see European Parliament and European Commission.

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Name Probability
Yes, with a Withdrawal Agreement with the EU in force 45%
Yes, without a Withdrawal Agreement with the EU in force 11%
No, with the UK revoking its invocation of Article 50 5%
No, without the UK revoking its invocation of Article 50 39%

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