Will Iraq hold parliamentary elections before 1 December 2020?

Started Nov 15, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC

In another attempt to quell unrest, on 9 November Prime Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi called for a new electoral law and other reforms (Voice of America, Reuters, Al Jazeera, PMO.iq [in Arabic]).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 December 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 164
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 507
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.48
3.
-0.47
4.
-0.469

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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