The Economist asks:

Who will win the 2020 Taiwan presidential election?

Started Nov 22, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 11, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The 2020 Taiwan presidential election is scheduled for 11 January 2020 (Economist, The News Lens, AP).

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The question closed "Tsai Ing-wen" with a closing date of 11 January 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Tsai Ing-wen 99%
Han Kuo-yu 1%
James Soong 0%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 128
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 226
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.007347
2.
-0.007347
3.
-0.007347
4.
-0.007347
5.
-0.007347

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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