The Economist asks:

Before 1 July 2020, will Nepal release its 2020 census results for Indian rhinoceros?

Started Nov 29, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Nepal plans to conduct the census in March-April 2019, as there are concerns regarding the Indian rhinoceros population in the region (Khabarhub, Mongabay, Online Khabar).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, counting less than 550 Indian rhinoceros 0%
Yes, counting between 550 and 600 Indian rhinoceros 0%
Yes, counting more than 600 but less than 650 Indian rhinoceros 0%
Yes, counting 650 or more Indian rhinoceros 0%
No 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 192
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 407
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.847
2.
-0.71
3.
-0.685
4.
-0.637

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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