Started Dec 13, 2019 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 06, 2020 11:00PM UTC

The Economist asks:

Who will win the 2020 Dominican Republic presidential election?



The presidential election is scheduled for 17 May 2020, with a runoff scheduled for 28 June 2020 if needed (Economist, El Día [in Spanish], Constitution Project).

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The question closed "Luis Abinader" with a closing date of 6 July 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

NOTE 24 April 2020: Due to the delay in the elections, the closing date has been revised (Bloomberg).





Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Luis Abinader 95%
Gonzalo Castillo 5%
Leonel Fernández 0%
Someone else 0%

No. of
Forecasters

156

Forecast
Count

430


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.282
2.
-0.269
3.
-0.268
4.
-0.252
5.
-0.241