The Economist asks:
Who will win the 2020 Dominican Republic presidential election?
Started
Dec 13, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 06, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 06, 2020 11:00PM UTC
Challenges
The presidential election is scheduled for 17 May 2020, with a runoff scheduled for 28 June 2020 if needed (Economist, El Día [in Spanish], Constitution Project).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.The question closed "Luis Abinader" with a closing date of 6 July 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
NOTE 24 April 2020: Due to the delay in the elections, the closing date has been revised (Bloomberg).
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Abinader | 95% | |
| Gonzalo Castillo | 5% | |
| Leonel Fernández | 0% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 156 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 430 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
