The Economist asks:

What will be the closing price for Brent crude oil on 31 March 2020?

Started Dec 20, 2019 06:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 31, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The outcome will be determined by the closing  price for Brent crude oil as reported by Business Insider (Business Insider).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "Less than $63.00 per barrel" with a closing date of 31 March 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $63.00 per barrel 100%
Between $63.00 and $69.00 per barrel, inclusive 0%
More than $69.00 per barrel 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 346
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 1147
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.405798
2.
-0.373927
3.
-0.341256
4.
-0.327048
5.
-0.294101

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username