Who will win the 2020 Golden Globe for Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama?

Started Dec 26, 2019 08:30PM UTC
Closed Jan 05, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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The Golden Globes are scheduled for 5 January 2020 (Golden Globes).

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The question closed "Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)" with a closing date of 5 January 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Christian Bale (Ford v Ferrari) 5%
Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory) 10%
Adam Driver (Marriage Story) 17%
Joaquin Phoenix (Joker) 59%
Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes) 8%
A tie or other outcome 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 28
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.374
3.
-0.227
4.
-0.214
5.
-0.146

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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