Who will win the 2020 Golden Globe for Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy?

Started Dec 26, 2019 08:30PM UTC
Closed Jan 05, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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The Golden Globes are scheduled for 5 January 2020 (Golden Globes).

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The question closed "Awkwafina (The Farewell)" with a closing date of 5 January 2020.  

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Ana de Armas (Knives Out) 25%
Awkwafina (The Farewell) 18%
Cate Blanchett (Where'd You Go, Bernadette) 26%
Beanie Feldstein (Booksmart) 7%
Emma Thompson (Late Night) 23%
A tie or other outcome 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 30
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 44
Average for questions older than 6 months: 584
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.768889
2.
-0.6986
3.
-0.695444
4.
-0.599022
5.
-0.340978

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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