Started Jan 03, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Feb 11, 2020 07:59AM UTC

Who will win the 2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary?

The New Hampshire primary is scheduled for 11 February 2020 (270 To Win, New Hampshire Public Radio). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the most pledged delegates. In the event of a tie, the candidate with the most votes will be considered the winner.

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The question closed "Bernie Sanders" with a closing date of 11 February 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Joe Biden 8%
Pete Buttigieg 17%
Bernie Sanders 70%
Elizabeth Warren 5%
Someone else 0%

No. of
Forecasters

357

Forecast
Count

720

Crowd Brier Score

0.4632


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.558
2.
-0.558
3.
-0.552
4.
-0.499