Who will win the 2020 New Hampshire Democratic primary?

Started Jan 03, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 11, 2020 07:59AM UTC

The New Hampshire primary is scheduled for 11 February 2020 (270 To Win, New Hampshire Public Radio). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the most pledged delegates. In the event of a tie, the candidate with the most votes will be considered the winner.

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The question closed "Bernie Sanders" with a closing date of 11 February 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Joe Biden 8%
Pete Buttigieg 17%
Bernie Sanders 70%
Elizabeth Warren 5%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 357
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 720
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.558
2.
-0.558
3.
-0.552
4.
-0.499

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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