Who will win the 2020 Grammy for Best New Artist?

Started Jan 10, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 26, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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The 2020 Grammy Awards are scheduled for 26 January 2020 (Grammy.com).

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The question closed "Billie Eilish" with a closing date of 26 January 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Black Pumas 0%
Billie Eilish 60%
Lil Nas X 4%
Lizzo 36%
Maggie Rogers 0%
Rosalía 0%
Tank and the Bangas 0%
Yola 0%
A tie or other outcome 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 39
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 65
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.302
2.
-0.221
3.
-0.205
4.
-0.159
5.
-0.128

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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