Who will win the 2020 Oscar® for Best Actor?

Started Jan 15, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 09, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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The 92nd Academy Awards®, known as the Oscars®, are scheduled for 9 February 2020 (Oscars).

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The question closed "Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)" with a closing date of 9 February 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory) 2%
Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon a Time...in Hollywood) 6%
Adam Driver (Marriage Story) 11%
Joaquin Phoenix (Joker) 80%
Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes) 1%
A tie or other outcome 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 87
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 129
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.139
3.
-0.119
4.
-0.119
5.
-0.119

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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