Who will win the 2020 Oscar® for Best Actress?

Started Jan 15, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 09, 2020 07:59AM UTC
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The 92nd Academy Awards®, known as the Oscars®, are scheduled for 9 February 2020 (Oscars).

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The question closed "Renée Zellweger (Judy)" with a closing date of 9 February 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Cynthia Erivo (Harriet) 3%
Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story) 25%
Saoirse Ronan (Little Women) 7%
Charlize Theron (Bombshell) 3%
Renée Zellweger (Judy) 62%
A tie or other outcome 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 69
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 111
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.357
2.
-0.341
3.
-0.341
4.
-0.328

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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