Started Jan 17, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Aug 15, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Will Félix Tshisekedi cease to be president of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before 15 August 2020?

Félix Tshisekedi was inaugurated in January 2020 amid claims of election rigging and a secret power-sharing deal with outgoing President Kabila (Economist, The Africa ReportWashington Post).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 August 2020.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

249

Forecast
Count

514

Crowd Brier Score

0.0094


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.019
3.
-0.019
4.
-0.019

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