Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will a United States Supreme Court seat be vacated?

As the 2020 presidential election approaches, a Supreme Court vacancy would be an important political development (CNN, National Review, CNN).

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Name Probability
Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021 24%
Yes, but no replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021 23%
No 53%

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