Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:
Before 1 January 2021, will a United States Supreme Court seat be vacated?
Started
Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 27, 2020 12:07AM UTC
Closed Oct 27, 2020 12:07AM UTC
Challenges
As the 2020 presidential election approaches, a Supreme Court vacancy would be an important political development (CNN, National Review, CNN).
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The question closed "Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021" with a closing date of 26 October 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021 | 99% | |
| Yes, but no replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021 | 1% | |
| No | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 1479 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 230 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 3066 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 638 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
