Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 27, 2020 12:07AM UTC

  Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will a United States Supreme Court seat be vacated?

As the 2020 presidential election approaches, a Supreme Court vacancy would be an important political development (CNN, National Review, CNN).

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The question closed "Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021" with a closing date of 26 October 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, and a replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021 99%
Yes, but no replacement Justice will be confirmed by the Senate before 1 January 2021 1%
No 0%

No. of
Forecasters

1479

Forecast
Count

3066

Crowd Brier Score

1.0099


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.1
2.
-1.1
4.
-1.1
5.
-1.1

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