Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel before 1 January 2021?

Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Prime Minister Netanyahu faces an array of challenges, including criminal corruption charges and the third Knesset election within a year scheduled for 2 March 2020 (Times of Israel, Sydney Morning Herald).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1545
Average for questions older than 6 months: 215
Number of Forecasts 2901
Average for questions older than 6 months: 606
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.593
3.
-0.593
4.
-0.593
5.
-0.593

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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