Fareed Zakaria GPS asks:

Will Benjamin Netanyahu cease to be the prime minister of Israel before 1 January 2021?

Started Jan 17, 2020 09:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Prime Minister Netanyahu faces an array of challenges, including criminal corruption charges and the third Knesset election within a year scheduled for 2 March 2020 (Times of Israel, Sydney Morning Herald).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 1545
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193
Number of Forecasts 2901
Average for questions older than 6 months: 554
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.595389
2.
-0.593048
3.
-0.593048
4.
-0.593048
5.
-0.593048

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username