Started Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Mar 10, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Who will win the 2020 Michigan Democratic primary?

The Michigan primary is scheduled for 10 March 2020 (270 To Win). The outcome will be determined based on who wins the most pledged delegates. In the event of a tie, the candidate with the most votes will be considered the winner.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "Joe Biden" with a closing date of 10 March 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Joe Biden 90%
Michael Bloomberg 0%
Pete Buttigieg 0%
Amy Klobuchar 0%
Bernie Sanders 10%
Elizabeth Warren 0%
Someone else 0%

No. of
Forecasters

127

Forecast
Count

335

Crowd Brier Score

0.8322


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.861
2.
-0.471
3.
-0.422
4.
-0.366
5.
-0.3