When will British Airways resume commercial flights to mainland China?

Started Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

On 10 February 2020, British Airways announced that it had canceled all flights to Beijing and Shanghai until 31 March 2020, which it later extended until 17 April 2020 (Reuters, British Airways). Flights to Hong Kong or Macau would not count. For the purposes of this question, resumption of commercial flights will have occurred once a British Airways commercial flight is en route to mainland China.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

The question closed "Not before 1 July 2020" with a closing date of 1 July 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Question clarification
Issued on 05/26/20 08:18pm
For the purposes of this question, "commercial flights" are flights with ticketed passengers. Cargo only flights would not count.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 May 2020 0%
Between 1 May 2020 and 31 May 2020 0%
Between 1 June 2020 and 30 June 2020 0%
Not before 1 July 2020 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 650
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 1584
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username