Started Feb 21, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

When will British Airways resume commercial flights to mainland China?

On 10 February 2020, British Airways announced that it had canceled all flights to Beijing and Shanghai until 31 March 2020, which it later extended until 17 April 2020 (Reuters, British Airways). Flights to Hong Kong or Macau would not count. For the purposes of this question, resumption of commercial flights will have occurred once a British Airways commercial flight is en route to mainland China.

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The question closed "Not before 1 July 2020" with a closing date of 1 July 2020.

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Question clarification

Issued on 05/26/20 08:18pm
For the purposes of this question, "commercial flights" are flights with ticketed passengers. Cargo only flights would not count.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 May 2020 0%
Between 1 May 2020 and 31 May 2020 0%
Between 1 June 2020 and 30 June 2020 0%
Not before 1 July 2020 100%

Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 650
average for questions older than 6 months: 258
Number of Forecasts 1584
average for questions older than 6 months: 686
Accuracy of participants
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters about average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.243
2.
-0.242
4.
-0.233
5.
-0.233

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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