Before 1 July 2020, will SpaceX launch its first crewed mission into orbit?
Started
Feb 28, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 30, 2020 07:40PM UTC
Closed May 30, 2020 07:40PM UTC
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After passing a key safety milestone in January 2020 (SpaceX), Elon Musk is hopeful 'Crew Dragon', SpaceX's crewed capsule, launches soon (Space.com, CNBC).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 30 May 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 98.00% | |
| No | 2.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 193 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 743 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |