Question 25 of 26 in Coronavirus Outbreak
Started Mar 13, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Before 1 January 2021, will Ali Khamenei cease to be the supreme leader of Iran and/or Hassan Rouhani cease to be the president of Iran?

Iran has been hit hard by the COVID-19 outbreak, with 9,000 cases reported as of 12 March 2020 (WHO). Already economically weakened and facing new challenges with the price of oil, there is speculation as to whether or not the current government can endure the outbreak (Atlantic, BBC, Washington Post).

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Name Probability
Yes, only Ali Khamenei will cease to be supreme leader 1%
Yes, only Hassan Rouhani will cease to be president 1%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with neither replacing the other 0%
Yes, both Ali Khamenei and Hassan Rouhani will cease to hold their respective positions, with at least one replacing the other 0%
No 98%

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