Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Dec 31, 2020 10:59PM UTC

The Mack Institute asks:

Before 1 January 2021, will Cruise Automation launch a commercial ride-hailing service open to the public in the U.S. which uses autonomous vehicles?

General Motors' subsidiary Cruise Automation had announced intentions to launch a ride-hailing service somewhere in the U.S. in 2019; however, the service was still under development at the beginning of 2020 (GMAuthority, USA Today). While the firm recently received a permit for testing from the state of California, technical and regulatory hurdles remain (Road Show, Reuters, Electronics 360). A service that operates along a fixed route and/or with backup drivers in the vehicles would not count.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

Name Probability
Yes 0%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username