The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2021, will Tesla release an Autopilot feature designed to navigate traffic lights?

Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 24, 2020 09:59PM UTC

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has expressed interest in adding a feature to navigate city streets, including traffic lights (The Driven, Endgadget, EV Bite).

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The question closed "Before 1 July 2020" with a closing date of 24 April 2020 (Electrek).

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 July 2020 0%
Between 1 July and 30 September 2020 2%
Between 1 October and 31 December 2020 8%
Not before 1 January 2021 90%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 106
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 187
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.491435
2.
-1.486235
3.
-1.485374
4.
-1.318715
5.
-1.176015

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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