Started Apr 02, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 24, 2020 09:59PM UTC

The Mack Institute asks

Before 1 January 2021, will Tesla release an Autopilot feature designed to navigate traffic lights?

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has expressed interest in adding a feature to navigate city streets, including traffic lights (The Driven, Endgadget, EV Bite).

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The question closed "Before 1 July 2020" with a closing date of 24 April 2020 (Electrek).

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 July 2020 0%
Between 1 July and 30 September 2020 2%
Between 1 October and 31 December 2020 8%
Not before 1 January 2021 90%

No. of
Forecasters

106

Forecast
Count

187

Crowd Brier Score

1.5028


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-1.491
2.
-1.486
3.
-1.485
4.
-1.319
5.
-1.176

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