The Mack Institute asks
What total percentage of global vehicle sales in 2022 will be battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs)?
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Climate change and other environmental concerns continue to drive a greater focus on electric vehicles (Reuters, NASDAQ, CSP, IEA). This question will be suspended on 30 June 2021 and the outcome will be determined using open source data provided by EV-volumes.com for 2022, expected to be released in early 2023. The global BEV & PHEV share for 2019 was 2.5% (EV-volumes.com). In the event that the relevant data for 2022 are not available from EV-volumes.com in 2023, this question will be resolved using data from other credible automotive industry sources.
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The question closed "More than 8.5%" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 2.5% | 0% | |
| Between 2.5% and 4.5%, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 4.5% but less than 6.5% | 24% | |
| Between 6.5% and 8.5%, inclusive | 47% | |
| More than 8.5% | 29% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 175 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 235 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 580 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 651 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
