The Mack Institute asks
What total percentage of global vehicle sales in 2022 will be battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs)?
Climate change and other environmental concerns continue to drive a greater focus on electric vehicles (Reuters, NASDAQ, CSP, IEA). This question will be suspended on 30 June 2021 and the outcome will be determined using open source data provided by EV-volumes.com for 2022, expected to be released in early 2023. The global BEV & PHEV share for 2019 was 2.5% (EV-volumes.com). In the event that the relevant data for 2022 are not available from EV-volumes.com in 2023, this question will be resolved using data from other credible automotive industry sources.
|Possible Answer||Crowd Forecast|
|Less than 2.5%||0.00%|
|Between 2.5% and 4.5%, inclusive||0.00%|
|More than 4.5% but less than 6.5%||20.00%|
|Between 6.5% and 8.5%, inclusive||40.00%|
|More than 8.5%||25.00%|