When will the Transportation Security Administration (TSA) next screen two million or more travelers in a single day?

Started Apr 03, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 01, 2020 06:59AM UTC

The number of people traveling by commercial plane has dropped dramatically since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic (WTKR). The outcome will be determined using Total Traveler Throughput data reported by the TSA (TSA). The TSA last screened at least two million travelers in a single day on 8 March 2020.

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The question closed "Not before 1 September 2020" with a closing date of 1 September 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 June 2020 0%
Between 1 June 2020 and 30 June 2020 0%
Between 1 July 2020 and 31 July 2020 0%
Between 1 August 2020 and 31 August 2020 0%
Not before 1 September 2020 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 337
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 804
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.012886
2.
-0.012589
3.
-0.012581
4.
-0.012581
5.
-0.012581

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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