Started Mar 11, 2016 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 08, 2016 07:59AM UTC

&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Which party will control the US Senate after the November 2016 election?

This question was closed on 14 November with the correct answer 'Republicans' and an end date of 8 November. The Republicans maintained their majority in the Senate. Thirty-four seats are up for election this year (Wall Street Journal, Washington Post 1, Washington Post 2).

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Democrats 64%
Republicans 36%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 844
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 2531
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.627
2.
-0.625
3.
-0.623
4.
-0.621
5.
-0.618

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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