Started Mar 11, 2016 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 08, 2016 07:59AM UTC

&nbsp The Monkey Cage asks

Which party will control the US House of Representatives after the November 2016 election?

This question was closed with the correct answer "Republicans" and an end date of 8 November. The Republicans held onto their majority in the house. For more information on house races see: CQ Roll Call, The Hill.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Democrats 10%
Republicans 90%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 912
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 2454
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.082
2.
-0.082
3.
-0.082
4.
-0.082
5.
-0.082

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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