Who will win the U.S. Senate election for Michigan in 2020?

Started May 27, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

While Republicans control the U.S. Senate going into the 2020 elections, the GOP is defending 23 seats while Democrats are defending only 12 this November (270 To Win, The Hill).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 86%
The Republican Party candidate 14%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 236
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 739
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.088
2.
-0.088
3.
-0.088
5.
-0.087

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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