Started May 29, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

Which presidential candidate will win Pennsylvania?

The 2020 race for the White House will be decided in battleground states (Real Clear Politics, Electoral Vote Map). The outcome will be determined based on which candidate wins the popular vote in the state.

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 85%
The Republican Party candidate 15%
Someone else 0%

No. of
Forecasters

340

Forecast
Count

1140

Crowd Brier Score

0.1218


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

3.
-0.146
4.
-0.146
5.
-0.145

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