Which presidential candidate will win Ohio?

Started May 29, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

The 2020 race for the White House will be decided in battleground states (Real Clear PoliticsElectoral Vote Map). The outcome will be determined based on which candidate wins the popular vote in the state.

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The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 45%
The Republican Party candidate 55%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 326
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 1109
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.462
2.
-0.458
3.
-0.455
4.
-0.451

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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