Which presidential candidate will win Ohio?

Started May 29, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 03, 2020 07:00PM UTC

The 2020 race for the White House will be decided in battleground states (Real Clear PoliticsElectoral Vote Map). The outcome will be determined based on which candidate wins the popular vote in the state.

Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "The Republican Party candidate" with a closing date of 3 November 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 45%
The Republican Party candidate 55%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 326
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 1109
Average for questions older than 6 months: 578
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.462409
2.
-0.457894
3.
-0.454877
4.
-0.45103

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username